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2024-12-13 05:55:34

Japan Meteorological Agency: There is a 70% chance that La Niñ a will not occur before the arrival of spring. The Japan Meteorological Agency said that there are no signs of El Niñ o and La Niñ a at present, but the characteristics of La Niñ a are emerging. There is a 70% chance that La Nina will not occur before the spring comes.Allianz's investment in the national pension was approved. It was learned from the national pension that the State Financial Supervision and Administration recently officially approved the change of the registered capital of the National Pension Insurance Co., Ltd. and added Allianz Investment Co., Ltd. as a shareholder of the company. (CSI Taurus)Pakistan KSE-100 index rose 0.8% to 110,933.10.


Li Jun, the former first-level senior police sergeant of the Economic Crime Investigation Corps of Jiangxi Provincial Public Security Department, was examined and investigated. On December 10th, WeChat official account WeChat reported that Li Jun, the former first-level senior police sergeant of the Economic Crime Investigation Corps of Jiangxi Provincial Public Security Department, was suspected of serious violation of discipline and law, and took the initiative to explain the problem to the organization. At present, he is being examined by the Discipline Inspection and Supervision Team of Jiangxi Provincial Commission for Discipline Inspection in the Provincial Public Security Department and supervised by the Supervision Committee of Yushan County, Shangrao City.A residential land in Yiwu, Zhejiang Province was sold in 53 rounds of bidding, with a premium rate of 23.42%. On December 10th, Yiwu City, Zhejiang Province welcomed another residential land for sale, which was named as Qintang Hub Station Plot I, located in Choucheng Street, with a land area of 63,440.94 square meters and a plot ratio of 1.01 million yuan, equivalent to the initial price of 1,152.72 million yuan.Morgan Stanley published a research report, predicting that Chow Tai Fook's share price will outperform the market index in the same period in the next 30 days with a 70% to 80% chance, pointing out that Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party revealed a strong stimulus policy tone yesterday, indicating that it is necessary to expand domestic demand, and called for supporting measures for housing and stock market stability, hoping for stable asset prices, which will have a positive impact on gold and jewelry consumption. The bank also pointed out that December of each year to February of the following year is usually the traditional peak season for jewelry sales, and Chow Tai Fook's share price has fallen by about 40% this year, which is inferior to the performance of MSCI China Index and Hang Seng Index in the same period. It is expected that the strength and implementation details of the central government's stimulus measures, the pace of inflation and the stability of gold prices in the future will affect whether the company's valuation can be revalued in the market and maintain its "in sync with the market" rating, with a target price of HK$ 8.3.


Treasury futures closed in early trading, with 2-year Treasury futures (TS) up 0.14%, 5-year Treasury futures (TF) up 0.42%, 10-year Treasury futures (T) up 0.64% and 30-year Treasury futures (TL) up 1.23%.The scientific and technological innovation sector is ready to go! Kechuang 100TF (588190) rose by 2.99% at midday, and Stevie rose by 6.20%. By midday on December 10th, Kechuang 100TF (588190) rose by 2.99%, with a turnover of 457 million yuan. Component stocks rose strongly, with Sitway rising by 6.20%, Guo Dun Quantum, Hengxuan Technology, Ruichuang Micro-Nano and Alice rising by over 3%, and Xinyuanwei and Anji Technology rising by over 2%. Guotai Junan said that the policy is set to be unconventional, the New Year's market is expected to continue, and the China stock market's transformation bull is taking shape, and its style and industry configuration are welcoming the "transformation bull" and its chess eyes are growing. Zhongtai Securities said that the meeting pointed out that "a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy should be implemented". The statement that monetary policy is "moderately loose" is the first time in many years, which indicates that a more powerful monetary policy tool will be used next year, but it does not mean relaxing the goal of stabilizing exchange rate and currency value. The easing of monetary policy throughout the year is still closely related to Trump's tax cuts, inflation and debt. Next year is the closing year of the "14th Five-Year Plan", which is the real main line of the technology and direction related to industrial policy or the "year-end and early year" market.The fund sentiment continues to pick up, and the rebound of A shares is expected to continue! Half-day turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) exceeded 90 million yuan. By midday on December 10th, Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF South (159925) had increased by 1.83%, with a turnover of 90299400 yuan. Component stocks rose strongly, with China Ping An, China Merchants Bank and Wuliangye rising by over 3%, while Kweichow Moutai, Midea Group and Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited rising by over 2%. In the news, the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9th to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. The meeting stressed that it is necessary to "implement more active and promising macro policies." Galaxy Securities said that looking forward to the market outlook, from the macro event point of view, the US interest rate cut is expected to heat up in December, and the superimposed domestic PMI data performed well. The follow-up policy stimulus and financial data are expected to support the continuous recovery of capital sentiment, which can be appropriately optimistic. In addition, there have been many discussions on the upcoming meeting recently, and there are still strong expectations for stimulus policies. Next, the policy landing will be an important factor affecting whether the market style can be changed. If the fundamentals are expected to improve, the large and medium-sized stocks are expected to change their trend. We can pay attention to the opportunities of medium-term investment, that is, look for the turning point of the industry boom in 2025, such as new energy, medicine, advanced manufacturing, Hong Kong stock Internet and so on.

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